Q. Europa League Playoffs Final
Global 4-5
Dinamo Zagreb vs Sparta Praha analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.3%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
27.5%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dinamo Zagreb
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
AEK
2 - 2
DZG
42%
25%
33%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2023 |
DZG
1 - 2
AEK
57%
22%
21%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
DZG
0 - 0
HNG
72%
17%
11%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2023 |
AST
0 - 2
DZG
26%
26%
49%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | -1 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
IST
0 - 3
DZG
17%
24%
59%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Sparta Praha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
TEP
1 - 1
SPA
16%
22%
63%
|
83 | 65 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2023 |
SPA
3 - 3
FCK
47%
23%
30%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
JAB
1 - 5
SPA
16%
23%
62%
|
83 | 66 | 17 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 2023 |
FCK
0 - 0
SPA
44%
24%
32%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
SPA
5 - 2
PAR
82%
13%
5%
|
83 | 64 | 19 | +1 |