Europa League Fase Final 1/32
Global 3-3
Dinamo Zagreb vs Sparta Praha analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.3%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
18.6%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dinamo Zagreb
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2008 |
ZAG
2 - 2
DZG
27%
23%
50%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2008 |
DZG
2 - 1
NKV
73%
16%
11%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2008 |
DZG
1 - 3
SHA
55%
23%
22%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2008 |
ZAD
2 - 3
DZG
18%
22%
60%
|
85 | 65 | 20 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2008 |
DZG
6 - 0
HNK
78%
14%
7%
|
85 | 67 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Sparta Praha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2008 |
ZBR
0 - 2
SPA
41%
27%
32%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2008 |
SPA
2 - 0
VIZ
64%
20%
16%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2008 |
PAN
1 - 0
SPA
44%
27%
29%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2008 |
ESK
1 - 4
SPA
24%
27%
48%
|
84 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2008 |
SPA
1 - 1
SIG
68%
20%
12%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |