Dinamo Zagreb vs HNK Rijeka analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
21.2%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
81
1º
4º
1º
49
3º
10º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
81 | 81 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
71 | 71 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 27 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (2nd r
|
100% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dinamo Zagreb
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2023 |
IST
1 - 0
DZG
16%
22%
62%
|
84 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
HNS
2 - 1
DZG
14%
21%
65%
|
84 | 64 | 20 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
DZG
1 - 1
OSI
55%
23%
22%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2023 |
DZG
3 - 1
LOK
68%
18%
14%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
DZG
4 - 0
HKS
45%
24%
31%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
HNK Rijeka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
RIJ
3 - 1
NKV
64%
21%
15%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2023 |
IST
0 - 2
RIJ
23%
24%
52%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
RIJ
0 - 1
SLA
69%
19%
12%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
LOK
1 - 2
RIJ
37%
25%
38%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
RIJ
2 - 0
HNG
63%
21%
17%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | +1 |