Dinamo Zagreb vs Real Madrid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.9%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.2%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.7%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.8%
66.3%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
11.8%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.2%
0-3
8.2%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.3%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.9%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dinamo Zagreb
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
HKS
1 - 1
DZG
38%
26%
36%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
DZG
1 - 0
LUK
87%
9%
4%
|
84 | 59 | 25 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2011 |
MFF
2 - 0
DZG
37%
27%
36%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
OSI
0 - 4
DZG
25%
26%
49%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2011 |
DZG
4 - 1
MFF
58%
22%
20%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
RMA
4 - 2
GET
89%
8%
3%
|
96 | 84 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
ZAR
0 - 6
RMA
11%
18%
71%
|
95 | 83 | 12 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2011 |
RMA
2 - 1
GAL
88%
9%
3%
|
95 | 80 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2011 |
FCB
3 - 2
RMA
50%
22%
28%
|
95 | 96 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2011 |
RMA
2 - 2
FCB
44%
22%
35%
|
95 | 96 | 1 | 0 |