Qualif. Champions Playoffs Final
Global 5-0
Dinamo Zagreb vs Qarabağ analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.7%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.2%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.8%
14.5%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dinamo Zagreb
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
DZG
3 - 0
HNS
71%
18%
11%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
OSI
1 - 2
DZG
40%
26%
34%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
DZG
5 - 0
IST
70%
18%
12%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
DZG
2 - 2
SHA
47%
23%
30%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2024 |
DZG
1 - 0
SHA
47%
23%
30%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Qarabağ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2024 |
LUD
2 - 7
QAR
61%
19%
20%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
QAR
3 - 0
FCK
74%
16%
10%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2024 |
QAR
1 - 2
LUD
45%
23%
33%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
ARA
1 - 4
QAR
32%
26%
41%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Jul. 2024 |
QAR
5 - 0
LRI
51%
20%
29%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | -2 |