Europa League 1/32
Global 0-1
Dinamo Zagreb vs Perugia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.2%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
14.2%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dinamo Zagreb
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 1979 |
PRG
1 - 0
DZG
50%
26%
24%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1977 |
DZG
1 - 0
TOR
46%
26%
27%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1977 |
TOR
3 - 1
DZG
85%
10%
5%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1977 |
DZG
5 - 1
OLP
63%
20%
17%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1977 |
OLP
3 - 1
DZG
59%
23%
19%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 1979 |
PRG
2 - 0
UDI
64%
23%
13%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1979 |
BOL
1 - 1
PRG
47%
29%
24%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1979 |
PRG
1 - 0
DZG
50%
26%
24%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 1979 |
PRG
0 - 0
FCC
63%
23%
14%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1979 |
PRG
1 - 0
SAM
76%
15%
9%
|
79 | 59 | 20 | 0 |