Dinamo Zagreb vs NEC Nijmegen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.1%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.9%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.3%
14.6%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dinamo Zagreb
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2008 |
HNS
2 - 2
DZG
16%
22%
62%
|
84 | 67 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2008 |
NGM
1 - 5
DZG
6%
13%
82%
|
84 | 30 | 54 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2008 |
DZG
1 - 0
OSI
75%
16%
10%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2008 |
SPA
3 - 3
DZG
40%
26%
34%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2008 |
SLA
2 - 0
DZG
30%
25%
46%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
NEC Nijmegen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2008 |
NEC
3 - 1
VIT
62%
23%
16%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2008 |
FEY
0 - 2
NEC
61%
21%
17%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2008 |
DBU
0 - 0
NEC
59%
22%
19%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2008 |
NEC
1 - 1
HER
60%
23%
17%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2008 |
BEQ
0 - 5
NEC
13%
20%
67%
|
77 | 41 | 36 | 0 |