Cup Winners Cup 1/16
Global 1-4
Dinamo Zagreb vs Milan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.5%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.6%
1-0
6%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.9%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
52.3%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16%
0-3
5%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dinamo Zagreb
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 1973 |
ACM
3 - 1
DZG
88%
8%
4%
|
81 | 90 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1971 |
RAP
0 - 0
DZG
63%
20%
17%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1971 |
DZG
2 - 2
RAP
58%
22%
21%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1971 |
BVR
1 - 2
DZG
56%
22%
21%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1971 |
DZG
6 - 1
BVR
60%
21%
19%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 1973 |
ACM
3 - 1
DZG
88%
8%
4%
|
90 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 1973 |
ACM
1 - 1
JUV
66%
20%
14%
|
90 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 1973 |
ACM
2 - 0
NAP
83%
12%
5%
|
90 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 1973 |
CAG
0 - 1
ACM
34%
26%
39%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Jun. 1973 |
ACM
1 - 0
ATL
86%
11%
4%
|
89 | 73 | 16 | 0 |