Qualif. Champions Play Offs Final
Global 3-1
Dinamo Zagreb vs Maribor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.6%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.9%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
17.1%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dinamo Zagreb
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
ZAD
1 - 3
DZG
13%
22%
65%
|
84 | 61 | 23 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
DZG
4 - 2
SPL
69%
20%
11%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 2012 |
DZG
4 - 0
SHF
59%
23%
18%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2012 |
IST
0 - 1
DZG
16%
25%
59%
|
83 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2012 |
SHF
0 - 1
DZG
40%
26%
35%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Maribor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
MAR
2 - 1
DOM
60%
22%
18%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
OLI
0 - 0
MAR
43%
26%
31%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2012 |
F91
0 - 1
MAR
46%
23%
31%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2012 |
MAR
1 - 0
TRI
80%
14%
6%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | +1 |
| 01 Aug. 2012 |
MAR
4 - 1
F91
60%
20%
20%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | -1 |