Qualif. Champions Tercera Ronda Final
Global 2-1
Dinamo Zagreb vs Legia Warszawa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.4%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
16.5%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dinamo Zagreb
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2021 |
DZG
3 - 3
RIJ
46%
24%
31%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2021 |
OMO
0 - 1
DZG
27%
26%
48%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2021 |
HDR
0 - 4
DZG
9%
20%
70%
|
84 | 57 | 27 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2021 |
DZG
2 - 0
OMO
52%
24%
24%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2021 |
DZG
0 - 2
SLA
74%
18%
9%
|
84 | 65 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Legia Warszawa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
RAD
3 - 1
WAR
27%
27%
46%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2021 |
FLO
0 - 1
WAR
48%
25%
27%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
WAR
1 - 0
PLO
56%
23%
21%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2021 |
WAR
2 - 1
FLO
45%
24%
32%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
WAR
1 - 1
RAK
45%
24%
31%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |