Dinamo Zagreb vs NK Istra 1961 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.3%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.8%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.4%
12.4%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
1º
3º
3º
23
5º
10º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
40 | 65 |
1º
|
43% | |
|
2º
|
39 | 64 |
2º
|
32% | |
|
|
3º
|
35 | 63 |
3º
|
28% | |
|
4º
|
30 | 55 |
4º
|
45% | |
|
5º
|
30 | 49 |
5º
|
39% | |
|
8º
|
22 | 46 |
6º
|
32.5% | |
|
6º
|
25 | 41 |
7º
|
33% | |
|
|
7º
|
23 | 39 |
8º
|
29.5% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 35 |
9º
|
35.5% | |
|
10º
|
18 | 31 |
10º
|
57% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
25.5% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
58.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
16% | 90% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 10% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dinamo Zagreb
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2025 |
ARS
3 - 0
DZG
82%
13%
6%
|
83 | 96 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2025 |
JAG
1 - 1
DZG
36%
24%
40%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
LPO
1 - 3
DZG
32%
25%
43%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2025 |
SHA
2 - 2
DZG
55%
22%
24%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
DZG
3 - 2
NKV
67%
20%
13%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
NK Istra 1961
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
IST
6 - 0
FCK
36%
25%
39%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2025 |
IST
1 - 1
OPA
64%
20%
16%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2025 |
MAR
2 - 1
IST
58%
22%
20%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2024 |
OSI
2 - 2
IST
60%
24%
16%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
IST
3 - 3
HNS
49%
26%
25%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | -1 |