Dinamo Zagreb vs NK Istra 1961 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.4%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
9%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.9%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.9%
11.7%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
13
1º
3º
3º
7
5º
10º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
17 | 69 |
1º
|
42% | |
|
2º
|
17 | 66 |
2º
|
28.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
13 | 65 |
3º
|
25% | |
|
6º
|
7 | 56 |
4º
|
29% | |
|
9º
|
5 | 48 |
5º
|
24.5% | |
|
4º
|
12 | 46 |
6º
|
23.5% | |
|
5º
|
10 | 42 |
7º
|
22% | |
|
8º
|
5 | 36 |
8º
|
22% | |
|
|
7º
|
7 | 36 |
9º
|
28% | |
|
10º
|
4 | 31 |
10º
|
54.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
20.5% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
57% | 2% |
|
Mid-table
|
22.5% | 84% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 14% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dinamo Zagreb
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
DZG
2 - 2
SHA
47%
23%
30%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2024 |
DZG
1 - 0
SHA
47%
23%
30%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2024 |
DZG
3 - 0
VAR
85%
11%
4%
|
84 | 52 | 32 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2024 |
DZG
0 - 2
HKR
65%
20%
16%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2024 |
DZG
6 - 2
CSK
75%
16%
9%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
NK Istra 1961
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
VNZ
1 - 1
IST
72%
16%
12%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2024 |
GOZ
1 - 2
IST
63%
21%
17%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2024 |
UDI
4 - 1
IST
72%
17%
11%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
FCK
2 - 2
IST
50%
24%
26%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2024 |
FTC
3 - 1
IST
54%
23%
23%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |