Dinamo Zagreb vs NK Istra 1961 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.3%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.7%
2-0
14.9%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
16%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16%
7.7%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
81
1º
4º
1º
46
4º
10º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
81 | 81 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
71 | 71 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 27 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (2nd r
|
100% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dinamo Zagreb
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
SLA
1 - 1
DZG
18%
24%
59%
|
84 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
DZG
2 - 1
LOK
70%
18%
12%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
DZG
0 - 0
HNG
74%
16%
9%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2023 |
DZG
1 - 1
CEL
73%
17%
11%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
RIJ
2 - 7
DZG
36%
26%
38%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
NK Istra 1961
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2023 |
IST
2 - 1
NKV
40%
28%
33%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
IST
3 - 0
HKS
13%
21%
66%
|
66 | 84 | 18 | +2 |
| 20 Jan. 2023 |
IST
0 - 0
SLA
39%
28%
34%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
LOK
1 - 1
IST
66%
20%
15%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2023 |
IST
7 - 1
KOL
79%
15%
6%
|
65 | 47 | 18 | 0 |