Q. Europa League Play Offs Final
Global 4-2
Dinamo Zagreb vs Heart of Midlothian analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.3%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.4%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.8%
10.9%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dinamo Zagreb
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2009 |
DZG
5 - 0
OSI
75%
16%
9%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2009 |
NKC
2 - 5
DZG
17%
21%
63%
|
85 | 63 | 22 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2009 |
DZG
1 - 2
RBS
64%
20%
16%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2009 |
DZG
4 - 0
MEI
82%
13%
5%
|
85 | 60 | 25 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2009 |
RBS
1 - 1
DZG
39%
24%
37%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2009 |
DUN
2 - 0
HOM
43%
28%
28%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2009 |
CEL
0 - 0
HOM
58%
24%
19%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2009 |
HOM
3 - 0
DUN
52%
25%
23%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2009 |
ABE
0 - 0
HOM
44%
28%
27%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2009 |
HOM
0 - 1
HIB
58%
24%
18%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |