Inter-Cities Fairs Cup 1/16
Global 4-1
Dinamo Zagreb vs Hamburger SV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.3%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
23.4%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dinamo Zagreb
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 1970 |
DZG
6 - 1
FCB
81%
11%
7%
|
80 | 63 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1970 |
FCB
2 - 0
DZG
23%
23%
54%
|
81 | 61 | 20 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 1970 |
S04
1 - 0
DZG
56%
23%
21%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1970 |
DZG
1 - 3
S04
56%
22%
22%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 1969 |
DZG
2 - 0
MAR
62%
21%
17%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Hamburger SV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 1970 |
HSV
1 - 1
BRE
57%
22%
22%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1970 |
KOL
3 - 0
HSV
73%
16%
11%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1970 |
HSV
1 - 2
S04
58%
22%
20%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 1970 |
ROT
8 - 1
HSV
36%
26%
38%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1970 |
HSV
1 - 5
BYM
34%
25%
41%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | -1 |