Dinamo Zagreb vs HNK Hajduk Split analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.6%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
23%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
13
1º
3º
1º
14
2º
4º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
3º
|
13 | 68 |
1º
|
43% | |
|
1º
|
14 | 68 |
2º
|
28% | |
|
|
2º
|
14 | 66 |
3º
|
29.5% | |
|
9º
|
4 | 53 |
4º
|
28.5% | |
|
8º
|
5 | 49 |
5º
|
31% | |
|
5º
|
9 | 46 |
6º
|
27% | |
|
4º
|
10 | 41 |
7º
|
27.5% | |
|
7º
|
5 | 39 |
8º
|
20.5% | |
|
6º
|
7 | 39 |
9º
|
23% | |
|
10º
|
1 | 26 |
10º
|
68% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
43% | 22% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
46% | 57.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
11% | 20.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dinamo Zagreb
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
TRN
2 - 1
DZG
5%
14%
81%
|
84 | 42 | 42 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
RIJ
1 - 1
DZG
45%
25%
30%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2024 |
QAR
0 - 2
DZG
28%
24%
49%
|
85 | 71 | 14 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
DZG
2 - 1
HNG
70%
18%
12%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2024 |
DZG
3 - 0
QAR
68%
18%
15%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
HNK Hajduk Split
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
HKS
1 - 0
OSI
46%
25%
30%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
IST
1 - 1
HKS
23%
27%
50%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
HKS
2 - 1
NKV
64%
21%
15%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2024 |
HKS
0 - 1
RUZ
60%
22%
18%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
LOK
1 - 1
HKS
40%
26%
34%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |