Qualif. Champions 2da Ronda Final
Global 4-1
Dinamo Zagreb vs Fola Esch analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.8%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.3%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.6%
12.6%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dinamo Zagreb
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 2015 |
DZG
1 - 1
HKS
55%
23%
22%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2015 |
DZG
1 - 0
KUB
51%
25%
25%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Jun. 2015 |
DZG
1 - 1
ZIL
60%
21%
18%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2015 |
DZG
4 - 0
RIJ
55%
23%
23%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 May. 2015 |
IST
1 - 1
DZG
17%
25%
59%
|
82 | 66 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Fola Esch
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jul. 2015 |
FOL
0 - 0
WAA
66%
19%
15%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2015 |
FOL
2 - 4
PRO
68%
20%
13%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
KAE
0 - 3
FOL
14%
23%
63%
|
71 | 51 | 20 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
FOL
3 - 0
F91
47%
25%
29%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
GRE
1 - 5
FOL
16%
24%
60%
|
71 | 53 | 18 | 0 |