Cup Winners Cup Semi-finals
Global 2-4
Dinamo Zagreb vs Fiorentina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.1%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.9%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
30.7%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dinamo Zagreb
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 1961 |
FIO
3 - 0
DZG
74%
15%
11%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1960 |
DZG
2 - 0
RHB
81%
11%
8%
|
78 | 15 | 63 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1960 |
RHB
0 - 0
DZG
31%
22%
47%
|
78 | 15 | 63 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1958 |
DUK
2 - 1
DZG
51%
21%
28%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 1958 |
DZG
2 - 2
DUK
71%
16%
13%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 1961 |
UDI
0 - 0
FIO
24%
25%
51%
|
87 | 70 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1961 |
FIO
1 - 1
TOR
83%
11%
6%
|
87 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1961 |
LAZ
1 - 2
FIO
27%
25%
48%
|
87 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1961 |
FIO
3 - 0
DZG
74%
15%
11%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1961 |
FIO
0 - 0
NAP
82%
12%
6%
|
87 | 72 | 15 | 0 |