Inter-Cities Fairs Cup 1/32
Global 6-3
Dinamo Zagreb vs FC Barreirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.3%
Win probability
3.23
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.6%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.7%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7.4%
4-0
7%
5-1
4.2%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.5%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
6.6%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.6%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
5%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.6%
11.3%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
11.3%
7.4%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dinamo Zagreb
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 1970 |
FCB
2 - 0
DZG
23%
23%
54%
|
81 | 61 | 20 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1970 |
S04
1 - 0
DZG
56%
23%
21%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1970 |
DZG
1 - 3
S04
56%
22%
22%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 1969 |
DZG
2 - 0
MAR
62%
21%
17%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 1969 |
MAR
1 - 1
DZG
49%
24%
27%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
FC Barreirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 1970 |
FCB
1 - 1
VIT
39%
27%
34%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1970 |
BOA
1 - 0
FCB
47%
25%
28%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 1970 |
FCB
2 - 0
DZG
23%
23%
54%
|
61 | 81 | 20 | +2 |
| 13 Sep. 1970 |
FCB
0 - 3
SCP
29%
27%
44%
|
62 | 84 | 22 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 1970 |
BEL
0 - 1
FCB
57%
24%
19%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |