Qualif. Champions Play Offs Final
Global 3-4
Dinamo Zagreb vs Austria Wien analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.1%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.4%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
18.2%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dinamo Zagreb
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
DZG
2 - 1
LOK
67%
20%
13%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
HDR
1 - 1
DZG
8%
19%
72%
|
84 | 55 | 29 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2013 |
SHF
0 - 3
DZG
35%
27%
38%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2013 |
DZG
1 - 0
SPL
69%
19%
12%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2013 |
DZG
1 - 0
SHF
62%
21%
17%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Austria Wien
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
AUS
5 - 0
WIE
67%
20%
13%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2013 |
RAP
0 - 0
AUS
46%
25%
29%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2013 |
FHH
0 - 0
AUS
46%
23%
31%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2013 |
AUS
3 - 3
RIE
53%
24%
23%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2013 |
AUS
1 - 0
FHH
52%
23%
25%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |