Dinamo Zagreb vs Astana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.3%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.6%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.1%
12.6%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dinamo Zagreb
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
DZG
3 - 0
SLA
77%
15%
8%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
OSI
2 - 3
DZG
32%
28%
40%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2023 |
SPA
4 - 1
DZG
51%
23%
26%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
DZG
2 - 1
RIJ
55%
22%
22%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2023 |
DZG
3 - 1
SPA
49%
23%
28%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Astana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
AST
2 - 1
TOB
49%
25%
26%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2023 |
PAR
1 - 1
AST
47%
25%
28%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
KAI
1 - 0
AST
51%
24%
25%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2023 |
AST
1 - 0
PAR
50%
23%
27%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
AST
1 - 1
KAI
64%
21%
16%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | -1 |