Qualif. Champions Tercera ronda Final
Global 1-5
Dinamo Zagreb vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.2%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
5%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.8%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.1%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
43.5%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dinamo Zagreb
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2006 |
DZG
4 - 3
HNS
84%
12%
4%
|
85 | 60 | 25 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2006 |
DZG
5 - 2
FKE
68%
19%
13%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2006 |
DZG
1 - 0
SLA
70%
18%
12%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2006 |
FKE
1 - 4
DZG
31%
26%
42%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2006 |
DZG
4 - 1
RIJ
59%
20%
20%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2006 |
FCB
2 - 1
ARS
60%
21%
19%
|
93 | 94 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2006 |
ARS
4 - 2
WIG
79%
15%
7%
|
93 | 82 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2006 |
MAC
1 - 3
ARS
23%
27%
51%
|
93 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2006 |
SUN
0 - 3
ARS
14%
25%
61%
|
93 | 73 | 20 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2006 |
VIL
0 - 0
ARS
33%
29%
38%
|
93 | 89 | 4 | 0 |