Cup Winners Cup 1/16
Global 3-2
Dinamo Zagreb vs AEK Athens analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.2%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
22.4%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dinamo Zagreb
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 1964 |
AEK
2 - 0
DZG
57%
21%
23%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1963 |
DZG
2 - 1
CEL
50%
22%
28%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 1963 |
CEL
3 - 0
DZG
64%
19%
18%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 1963 |
LAS
1 - 1
DZG
56%
21%
23%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1963 |
DZG
1 - 0
LAS
57%
20%
23%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
AEK Athens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 1964 |
AEK
2 - 0
DZG
57%
21%
23%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1963 |
AEK
1 - 1
MON
51%
22%
28%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 1963 |
MON
7 - 2
AEK
62%
20%
19%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | -1 |