Dinamo Vologda vs Zvezda St. Petersburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.1%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
5%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.3%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.4%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.3%
36.6%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-60%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
5º
12º
11º
5
13º
16º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
31 | 70 |
1º
|
76% | |
|
1º
|
31 | 64 |
2º
|
45% | |
|
5º
|
24 | 57 |
3º
|
29.5% | |
|
4º
|
24 | 52 |
4º
|
23.5% | |
|
3º
|
27 | 52 |
5º
|
22.5% | |
|
9º
|
16 | 44 |
6º
|
16% | |
|
8º
|
17 | 44 |
7º
|
18% | |
|
6º
|
20 | 42 |
8º
|
11% | |
|
10º
|
16 | 41 |
9º
|
15% | |
|
11º
|
16 | 41 |
10º
|
12.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
17 | 40 |
11º
|
14.5% | |
|
12º
|
15 | 34 |
12º
|
18.5% | |
|
14º
|
10 | 26 |
13º
|
25% | |
|
13º
|
11 | 26 |
14º
|
30% | |
|
|
16º
|
5 | 21 |
15º
|
35% | |
|
15º
|
5 | 14 |
16º
|
71.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
98.5% | 46% |
|
Relegation
|
1.5% | 54% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dinamo Vologda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
ROM
0 - 0
DVO
29%
22%
50%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
FOT
1 - 0
DVO
57%
22%
22%
|
35 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2023 |
DVO
1 - 2
TEK
28%
23%
50%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2023 |
DVO
0 - 0
SPA
35%
24%
41%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2023 |
FKR
0 - 3
DVO
80%
12%
7%
|
33 | 59 | 26 | +3 |
Matches
Zvezda St. Petersburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
ZSP
0 - 3
DIN
47%
26%
27%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2023 |
DIN
2 - 2
ZSP
54%
22%
24%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2023 |
FKL
1 - 0
ZSP
73%
17%
10%
|
38 | 51 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
TOR
2 - 0
ZSP
36%
27%
37%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | -2 |
| 04 Jun. 2023 |
ZSP
0 - 1
CHE
33%
25%
42%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | -1 |