UEFA Intertoto Cup 1/16
Global 3-5
Dinamo City vs NK Varazdin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.3%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
37.4%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dinamo City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2005 |
DIN
0 - 1
TIR
38%
26%
36%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2005 |
TEU
2 - 2
DIN
41%
27%
33%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2005 |
DIN
1 - 0
LUS
65%
21%
14%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2005 |
LAÇ
0 - 1
DIN
14%
23%
64%
|
71 | 41 | 30 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2005 |
DIN
2 - 1
SHK
63%
22%
15%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
NK Varazdin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2005 |
HKS
6 - 0
NKV
53%
24%
23%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2005 |
NKV
3 - 1
ZAG
55%
24%
21%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2005 |
NKV
1 - 2
INT
63%
21%
15%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2005 |
SLA
2 - 2
NKV
36%
27%
37%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2005 |
NKV
3 - 1
RIJ
47%
25%
29%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | +1 |