Q. Europa League Primera Ronda Final
Global 3-4
Dinamo City vs FC Lahti analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.4%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
26%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dinamo City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jul. 2009 |
FCL
4 - 1
DIN
53%
25%
23%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2009 |
BYL
3 - 0
DIN
32%
29%
38%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2009 |
DIN
2 - 3
TIR
47%
26%
28%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2009 |
VLZ
1 - 0
DIN
56%
25%
19%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2009 |
DIN
1 - 1
LUS
78%
15%
7%
|
70 | 54 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
FC Lahti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jul. 2009 |
INT
1 - 1
FCL
52%
26%
22%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2009 |
FCL
4 - 1
DIN
53%
25%
23%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Jun. 2009 |
FCL
2 - 1
TAM
40%
27%
34%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2009 |
HAK
3 - 0
FCL
56%
24%
20%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2009 |
JJK
2 - 1
FCL
28%
27%
45%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | -1 |