Europa League 1/32
Global 2-1
Dinamo Tbilisi vs Torpedo Moscow analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.5%
Win probability
2.77
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.8%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.4%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.4%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
15%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
15%
11.6%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dinamo Tbilisi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 1996 |
DTB
4 - 0
GOR
90%
7%
3%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1996 |
FTK
2 - 4
DTB
37%
24%
39%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1996 |
TOR
0 - 1
DTB
40%
24%
36%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1996 |
DTB
3 - 3
DBA
70%
17%
14%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1996 |
MET
2 - 6
DTB
46%
23%
31%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Torpedo Moscow
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 1996 |
TOR
3 - 1
LAD
72%
19%
8%
|
78 | 60 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1996 |
CSK
2 - 0
TOR
62%
23%
15%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1996 |
TOR
0 - 1
DTB
40%
24%
36%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 1996 |
TOR
1 - 0
ROT
33%
27%
40%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 1996 |
LOK
2 - 1
TOR
58%
24%
17%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |