Dinamo Tbilisi vs Samtredia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.2%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.7%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.8%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.7%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.3%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.4%
7.4%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
3º
7º
5º
19
8º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
54 | 71 |
1º
|
57% | |
|
2º
|
51 | 68 |
2º
|
30% | |
|
3º
|
49 | 64 |
3º
|
49.5% | |
|
4º
|
36 | 54 |
4º
|
70.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
31 | 48 |
5º
|
43% | |
|
5º
|
31 | 46 |
6º
|
36% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 42 |
7º
|
48.5% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 34 |
8º
|
42% | |
|
9º
|
24 | 33 |
9º
|
43% | |
|
|
10º
|
19 | 27 |
10º
|
76.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
94% | 0.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
5.5% | 23% |
|
Relegation
|
0.5% | 76.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dinamo Tbilisi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2024 |
SAB
1 - 0
DTB
35%
25%
40%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
DTB
1 - 0
FTK
56%
23%
21%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2024 |
TEL
4 - 0
DTB
16%
24%
60%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
DTB
2 - 0
SAM
64%
20%
16%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2024 |
ZAR
0 - 4
DTB
21%
21%
57%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Samtredia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
SAM
1 - 3
GAG
50%
24%
25%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
SAB
2 - 2
SAM
69%
19%
12%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2024 |
SAM
1 - 1
KOL
35%
26%
39%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
FTK
4 - 1
SAM
72%
18%
10%
|
59 | 74 | 15 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
SAM
1 - 2
LOK
59%
20%
21%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |