Dinamo Tbilisi vs Samgurali analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.3%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.9%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
20%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20%
15.7%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
3º
7º
5º
31
5º
10º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
54 | 71 |
1º
|
57% | |
|
2º
|
51 | 68 |
2º
|
30% | |
|
3º
|
49 | 64 |
3º
|
49.5% | |
|
4º
|
36 | 54 |
4º
|
70.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
31 | 48 |
5º
|
43% | |
|
|
5º
|
31 | 46 |
6º
|
36% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 42 |
7º
|
48.5% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 34 |
8º
|
42% | |
|
9º
|
24 | 33 |
9º
|
43% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 27 |
10º
|
76.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
94% | 96.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
5.5% | 3.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dinamo Tbilisi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2024 |
ZAR
0 - 4
DTB
21%
21%
57%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2024 |
DYN
0 - 0
DTB
62%
20%
18%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
DTB
1 - 1
SIO
82%
12%
6%
|
77 | 57 | 20 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2024 |
VAL
0 - 2
DTB
42%
24%
34%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
ZOR
1 - 0
DTB
52%
23%
25%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Samgurali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
TOB
0 - 1
SAM
49%
24%
27%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2024 |
LOK
4 - 3
SAM
19%
20%
60%
|
69 | 53 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
GOR
2 - 2
SAM
52%
23%
25%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
SAM
2 - 3
SAM
28%
26%
46%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2023 |
SAM
1 - 0
GOR
33%
28%
39%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |