Dinamo Tbilisi vs Samgurali analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.6%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
20.5%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
71
1º
5º
2º
57
2º
6º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 74 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
71 | 71 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
60 | 60 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
|
5º
|
57 | 57 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
51 | 51 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
11 | 17 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dinamo Tbilisi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
GAG
1 - 6
DTB
17%
24%
59%
|
71 | 56 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2023 |
DTB
0 - 1
HAM
55%
22%
24%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
LOK
0 - 1
DTB
10%
16%
74%
|
71 | 46 | 25 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2023 |
HAM
2 - 1
DTB
35%
25%
40%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Jul. 2023 |
DTB
1 - 2
AST
48%
23%
29%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Samgurali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
SAM
0 - 1
TEL
69%
20%
11%
|
70 | 56 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
GAG
0 - 0
SAM
20%
25%
56%
|
70 | 56 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
KOL
1 - 3
SAM
13%
19%
68%
|
70 | 52 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
SAM
3 - 0
GAG
68%
20%
13%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | +1 |
| 11 Jul. 2023 |
SAM
0 - 0
MER
78%
15%
7%
|
69 | 49 | 20 | 0 |