Europa League 1/32
Global 4-3
Dinamo Tbilisi vs Lokomotiv Sofia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.8%
Win probability
3.11
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.2%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.9%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.8%
3-0
7%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
2.3%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
16.1%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.7%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.6%
13.3%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
13.3%
10.9%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dinamo Tbilisi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 1987 |
LSO
3 - 1
DTB
23%
31%
46%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1982 |
NAP
1 - 0
DTB
51%
25%
24%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1982 |
DTB
2 - 1
NAP
65%
21%
14%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1982 |
SDL
1 - 0
DTB
78%
14%
8%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1982 |
DTB
0 - 1
SDL
36%
24%
39%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Lokomotiv Sofia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 1987 |
LSO
2 - 2
CSK
57%
23%
21%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1987 |
LSO
3 - 1
DTB
23%
31%
46%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 1987 |
BOT
5 - 2
LSO
63%
20%
17%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 1987 |
LSO
2 - 0
SPA
69%
18%
13%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1987 |
SVA
0 - 3
LSO
41%
27%
32%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |