Cup Winners Cup Quarter-finals
Global 2-0
Dinamo Tbilisi vs Legia Warszawa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.5%
Win probability
2.99
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.9%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.2%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.2%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.9%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19%
12.8%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
12.8%
8.7%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dinamo Tbilisi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 1982 |
WAR
0 - 1
DTB
39%
25%
35%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1981 |
DTB
3 - 1
BAS
75%
14%
11%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 1981 |
BAS
1 - 1
DTB
43%
24%
33%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1981 |
GRA
2 - 2
DTB
25%
24%
51%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1981 |
DTB
2 - 0
GRA
77%
13%
10%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Legia Warszawa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 1982 |
GWA
0 - 0
WAR
48%
26%
25%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1982 |
WAR
0 - 0
SLA
54%
26%
21%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1982 |
WAR
0 - 1
DTB
39%
25%
35%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 1981 |
WAR
5 - 2
POG
56%
25%
20%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 1981 |
SZO
2 - 2
WAR
60%
23%
18%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |