Cup Winners Cup 1/16
Global 4-2
Dinamo Tbilisi vs Grazer AK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.8%
Win probability
3.09
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.2%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.9%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6.1%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
11%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
2.2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.4%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
8%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.7%
13.1%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
13.1%
10.1%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
6.6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dinamo Tbilisi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 1981 |
DTB
2 - 1
CZJ
44%
25%
31%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1981 |
FEY
2 - 0
DTB
84%
10%
5%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1981 |
DTB
3 - 0
FEY
28%
24%
48%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 1981 |
DTB
0 - 1
WHU
57%
23%
21%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1981 |
WHU
1 - 4
DTB
68%
18%
14%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Grazer AK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 1981 |
RBS
2 - 0
GRA
43%
26%
31%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1981 |
GRA
2 - 0
LAS
56%
25%
19%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 1981 |
GRA
10 - 0
VOI
82%
12%
6%
|
70 | 35 | 35 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1981 |
STR
4 - 1
GRA
56%
23%
21%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 1981 |
GRA
2 - 0
WIE
56%
24%
20%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | +1 |