Qualif. Champions Primera Ronda Final
Global 2-4
Dinamo Tbilisi vs Neftçi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.5%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.4%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
21%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dinamo Tbilisi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jul. 2021 |
DTB
1 - 2
DBA
52%
24%
24%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2021 |
FTK
0 - 1
DTB
25%
26%
49%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | +1 |
| 23 Jun. 2021 |
DTB
1 - 2
SAM
71%
19%
10%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | -1 |
| 19 Jun. 2021 |
DTB
2 - 0
LOK
53%
24%
24%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Jun. 2021 |
SAM
0 - 2
DTB
16%
23%
61%
|
75 | 56 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Neftçi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jun. 2021 |
SPA
1 - 2
FKN
66%
20%
14%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2021 |
DOM
2 - 1
FKN
57%
23%
21%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2021 |
OLI
1 - 1
FKN
50%
24%
26%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2021 |
FKN
1 - 0
QAR
49%
25%
26%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2021 |
SUM
0 - 1
FKN
35%
28%
37%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |