Q. Europa League Ronda Previa Final
Global 5-1
Dinamo Tbilisi vs FC TVMK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.2%
16.8%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dinamo Tbilisi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2002 |
DTB
3 - 0
KOL
78%
14%
8%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2002 |
MZE
0 - 3
DTB
17%
26%
58%
|
75 | 57 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2002 |
FTK
1 - 0
DTB
53%
24%
23%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | -2 |
| 18 May. 2002 |
DTB
10 - 0
FCM
81%
13%
6%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2002 |
LOK
0 - 0
DTB
45%
26%
29%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
FC TVMK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2002 |
LEV
1 - 2
TVM
12%
20%
68%
|
74 | 48 | 26 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2002 |
TVM
2 - 3
FLO
52%
23%
25%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2002 |
TUL
4 - 4
TVM
32%
26%
42%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | -1 |
| 27 Jul. 2002 |
TVM
2 - 2
TRA
59%
21%
21%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2002 |
TVM
6 - 0
LOT
86%
10%
4%
|
74 | 50 | 24 | +1 |