Cup Winners Cup 1/16
Global 3-1
Dinamo Tbilisi vs Cardiff City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.3%
Win probability
2.87
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.3%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.1%
3-0
8%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
16%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.8%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
14.1%
10.5%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dinamo Tbilisi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 1976 |
CAR
1 - 0
DTB
34%
22%
43%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1973 |
TOT
5 - 1
DTB
87%
8%
4%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 1973 |
DTB
1 - 1
TOT
27%
25%
48%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1973 |
BEO
1 - 5
DTB
54%
21%
26%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 1973 |
DTB
3 - 0
BEO
59%
19%
22%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Cardiff City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 1976 |
CAR
0 - 0
MIL
45%
27%
28%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1976 |
LEY
3 - 0
CAR
47%
28%
25%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 1976 |
CAR
1 - 0
DTB
34%
22%
43%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 1976 |
CAR
2 - 3
NOT
43%
28%
29%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1976 |
OLD
3 - 2
CAR
61%
22%
17%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | -1 |