Cup Winners Cup Last 16
Global 4-2
Dinamo Tbilisi vs Bastia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.8%
Win probability
2.84
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.2%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.9%
3-0
8%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.8%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
14.4%
10.8%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dinamo Tbilisi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 1981 |
BAS
1 - 1
DTB
43%
24%
33%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1981 |
GRA
2 - 2
DTB
25%
24%
51%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1981 |
DTB
2 - 0
GRA
77%
13%
10%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1981 |
DTB
2 - 1
CZJ
44%
25%
31%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1981 |
FEY
2 - 0
DTB
84%
10%
5%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 1981 |
BAS
1 - 0
MON
40%
26%
34%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1981 |
MET
2 - 0
BAS
50%
26%
24%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1981 |
BAS
1 - 1
DTB
43%
24%
33%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1981 |
BAS
2 - 2
STL
58%
22%
20%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1981 |
TOU
4 - 0
BAS
42%
26%
32%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | -1 |