Dinamo Tbilisi II vs Locomotive Tbilisi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
24.6%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
1º
5º
5º
32
5º
9º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
45 | 65 |
1º
|
43.5% | |
|
1º
|
47 | 64 |
2º
|
34% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 57 |
3º
|
27% | |
|
4º
|
40 | 57 |
4º
|
24.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
39 | 54 |
5º
|
33.5% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 50 |
6º
|
33.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
32 | 47 |
7º
|
41.5% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 39 |
8º
|
52.5% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 38 |
9º
|
57.5% | |
|
10º
|
17 | 25 |
10º
|
95.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
3% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
22% | 1.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
66% | 47.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
9% | 49.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 1.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dinamo Tbilisi II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
KOL
0 - 1
DIN
30%
26%
44%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2024 |
DIN
2 - 1
MET
58%
22%
21%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2024 |
DIN
1 - 3
GAR
29%
21%
50%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
MER
2 - 2
DIN
26%
24%
50%
|
57 | 41 | 16 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2023 |
DIN
6 - 0
KOL
56%
22%
22%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | +2 |
Matches
Locomotive Tbilisi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
LOK
0 - 1
WIT
51%
24%
25%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2024 |
SPA
1 - 1
LOK
56%
22%
22%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
SAM
1 - 2
LOK
59%
20%
21%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2024 |
LOK
4 - 3
SAM
19%
20%
60%
|
53 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
LOK
2 - 1
SIO
38%
23%
38%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |