Dinamo Stavropol vs Chernomorets Novorossisk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.6%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.5%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.5%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.9%
69.5%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
13%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.1%
0-3
9.2%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
13.3%
0-4
4.9%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.5%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+98%
+17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
7º
11º
10º
63
1º
3º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
63 | 63 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 55 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
49 | 52 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 46 |
4º
|
77% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
77% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 37 |
7º
|
92% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
92% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
92% | |
|
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
21 | 21 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
21 | 21 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 13 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
5 | 6 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dinamo Stavropol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
LEG
2 - 2
DIN
43%
24%
33%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
DIN
2 - 2
ALA
84%
11%
5%
|
35 | 18 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
FKK
1 - 2
DIN
72%
17%
11%
|
34 | 47 | 13 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
DIN
0 - 1
BIO
39%
24%
37%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
ROT
3 - 1
DIN
75%
17%
8%
|
35 | 58 | 23 | -1 |
Matches
Chernomorets Novorossisk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
CHE
3 - 1
MAS
87%
10%
3%
|
52 | 30 | 22 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
CHE
6 - 1
DMA
87%
10%
3%
|
52 | 32 | 20 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2022 |
LEG
0 - 4
CHE
10%
19%
71%
|
52 | 36 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
ALA
0 - 1
CHE
6%
14%
80%
|
52 | 18 | 34 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2022 |
CHE
0 - 1
YEN
16%
19%
65%
|
52 | 66 | 14 | 0 |