Dinamo Samarqand vs Nasaf Qarshi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.4%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
27.8%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
7º
13º
9º
52
1º
6º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
52 | 52 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 47 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 43 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 41 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 38 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 32 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 25 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 23 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 22 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dinamo Samarqand
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
DSA
0 - 1
NAV
48%
26%
26%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
PAK
4 - 2
DSA
49%
25%
26%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2024 |
DSA
3 - 0
TER
43%
27%
30%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | +2 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
FKO
0 - 3
DSA
43%
27%
31%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
DSA
2 - 3
BUN
51%
25%
24%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Nasaf Qarshi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2024 |
NAS
1 - 1
TER
46%
28%
26%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
BUN
2 - 2
NAS
42%
28%
30%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2024 |
NAS
2 - 0
OLM
41%
27%
32%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
NAV
0 - 1
NAS
42%
30%
28%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
NAS
3 - 0
AND
44%
28%
28%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |