Cup Winners Cup Quarter-finals
Global 1-0
Dinamo Moskva vs AEL Larisa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.9%
Win probability
2.8
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.4%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.3%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.3%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.4%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.2%
13.9%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.9%
9.2%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dinamo Moskva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 1985 |
LAR
0 - 0
DIN
24%
26%
51%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1984 |
HAM
0 - 1
DIN
24%
22%
54%
|
80 | 60 | 20 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 1984 |
DIN
5 - 0
HAM
80%
13%
7%
|
80 | 61 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1984 |
HKS
2 - 5
DIN
69%
18%
13%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 1984 |
DIN
1 - 0
HKS
48%
24%
27%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
AEL Larisa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 1985 |
LAR
0 - 0
DIN
24%
26%
51%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1984 |
SER
0 - 1
LAR
100%
0%
0%
|
69 | 85 | 16 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 1984 |
LAR
2 - 1
SER
2%
20%
79%
|
68 | 84 | 16 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 1984 |
LAR
2 - 0
BFC
64%
18%
18%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | +2 |
| 19 Sep. 1984 |
BFC
1 - 1
LAR
50%
22%
28%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | -1 |