Q. Europa League 3ra Ronda Final
Global 7-2
Dinamo Moskva vs Dundee United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.6%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.3%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
22.1%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dinamo Moskva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2012 |
DIN
0 - 4
SPA
43%
25%
32%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2012 |
DUN
2 - 2
DIN
36%
28%
37%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2012 |
ZEN
2 - 0
DIN
52%
25%
23%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2012 |
VNN
1 - 0
DIN
29%
27%
44%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
KUB
1 - 1
DIN
37%
27%
36%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Dundee United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2012 |
DUN
3 - 0
HIB
68%
20%
12%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2012 |
DUN
2 - 2
DIN
36%
28%
37%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 Jul. 2012 |
DUN
0 - 0
BHA
65%
21%
14%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
MHE
0 - 2
DUN
41%
25%
35%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
DUN
1 - 0
CEL
35%
25%
40%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |