Cup Winners Cup 1/16
Global 4-1
Dinamo Moskva vs Ararat Yerevan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.2%
Win probability
2.85
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.8%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.2%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.6%
3-0
11%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.8%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
12.3%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.3%
6.6%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dinamo Moskva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 1995 |
DIN
2 - 0
LNN
67%
21%
12%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1995 |
SPA
2 - 0
DIN
57%
23%
20%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 1995 |
DIN
1 - 1
FCR
66%
21%
13%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 1995 |
DIN
0 - 0
TOR
57%
25%
19%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 1995 |
ALA
2 - 0
DIN
46%
25%
29%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Ararat Yerevan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 1994 |
ARA
0 - 0
CSK
33%
25%
42%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 1994 |
CSK
3 - 0
ARA
87%
8%
5%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1975 |
WHU
3 - 1
ARA
86%
9%
5%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | -8 |
| 22 Oct. 1975 |
ARA
1 - 1
WHU
37%
25%
39%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 1975 |
ANO
1 - 1
ARA
46%
22%
32%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | -1 |