Q. Europa League Primera Ronda Final
Global 3-2
Dinamo Minsk vs Renova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.3%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
16.4%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dinamo Minsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jun. 2009 |
TOR
0 - 0
DNM
34%
29%
37%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2009 |
DNM
5 - 0
PMI
44%
25%
31%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | +1 |
| 23 May. 2009 |
SHA
1 - 1
DNM
50%
26%
25%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2009 |
DNM
2 - 0
NAF
49%
25%
26%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
GRA
2 - 1
DNM
30%
28%
42%
|
72 | 57 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Renova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2009 |
MAK
1 - 1
REN
46%
29%
26%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2009 |
REN
2 - 2
SIL
60%
24%
17%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
REN
4 - 1
MIL
45%
28%
28%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2009 |
VAR
0 - 0
REN
51%
26%
24%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
REN
1 - 0
RAB
52%
28%
20%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |