Dinamo Minsk vs Naftan Novopolotsk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.2%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.9%
13.9%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
69
1º
2º
1º
23
6º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
69 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
62 | 62 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
49 | 49 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
9 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
4 | 27 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
24 | 24 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
23 | 23 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
3 | 14 |
15º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
100% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dinamo Minsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
BAT
1 - 3
DNM
46%
26%
28%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
DNM
3 - 1
FKS
69%
21%
10%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
SLA
0 - 2
DNM
25%
26%
49%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
DNM
3 - 0
ISL
44%
26%
30%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
DNM
7 - 0
VOL
68%
20%
12%
|
75 | 58 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Naftan Novopolotsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2023 |
NAF
0 - 0
MIN
39%
26%
35%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2023 |
ZOR
0 - 1
NAF
54%
24%
22%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
NAF
1 - 1
GOM
31%
27%
42%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
SHA
2 - 1
NAF
62%
24%
15%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2023 |
DNM
2 - 0
NAF
58%
22%
19%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | -1 |