Dynamo Makhachkala II vs Alania Vladikavkaz II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.4%
Win probability
2.96
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.1%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.6%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.9%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.8%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.9%
11.9%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
11.9%
6.7%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-47%
+73%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
13
11º
16º
17º
17
11º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
53 | 67 |
1º
|
70% | |
|
3º
|
49 | 62 |
2º
|
19% | |
|
2º
|
51 | 62 |
3º
|
29.5% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 59 |
4º
|
24.5% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 58 |
5º
|
22% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 57 |
6º
|
23% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 50 |
7º
|
41.5% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 46 |
8º
|
31.5% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 46 |
9º
|
30.5% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 40 |
10º
|
34.5% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 39 |
11º
|
32.5% | |
|
12º
|
28 | 36 |
12º
|
33.5% | |
|
13º
|
26 | 34 |
13º
|
35.5% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 30 |
14º
|
44% | |
|
15º
|
22 | 29 |
15º
|
64.5% | |
|
|
16º
|
17 | 21 |
16º
|
64.5% | |
|
|
17º
|
13 | 18 |
17º
|
65.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
4.5% | 1.5% |
|
Relegation
|
95.5% | 98.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dynamo Makhachkala II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2023 |
TER
3 - 0
DDA
42%
22%
36%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2023 |
DDA
6 - 1
FKB
63%
19%
19%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2023 |
ARD
0 - 3
DDA
16%
17%
67%
|
32 | 18 | 14 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2023 |
DDA
3 - 2
FKV
80%
13%
8%
|
32 | 17 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2023 |
FSN
1 - 2
DDA
5%
11%
84%
|
32 | 9 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Alania Vladikavkaz II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
ALA
3 - 5
FOT
14%
17%
69%
|
15 | 46 | 31 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
ALA
1 - 5
NAL
11%
16%
74%
|
16 | 40 | 24 | -1 |
| 29 May. 2023 |
MAS
4 - 2
ALA
76%
15%
9%
|
16 | 27 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2023 |
ALA
0 - 2
LEG
15%
18%
67%
|
17 | 34 | 17 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2023 |
DIN
1 - 2
ALA
85%
10%
5%
|
16 | 30 | 14 | +1 |