Champions League Last 16
Global 2-6
Dinamo Bucureşti vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.5%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
28.2%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dinamo Bucureşti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 1982 |
DBU
7 - 2
TIM
74%
16%
10%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1982 |
JIU
1 - 1
DBU
43%
28%
29%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1982 |
STB
1 - 1
DBU
61%
22%
17%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1982 |
DUK
2 - 1
DBU
79%
12%
9%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1982 |
DBU
2 - 0
ARG
66%
20%
14%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 1982 |
ASV
3 - 0
WAT
70%
19%
12%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1982 |
NOT
4 - 1
ASV
33%
27%
40%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1982 |
WBA
1 - 0
ASV
45%
26%
29%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1982 |
BJK
0 - 0
ASV
31%
29%
40%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 1982 |
ASV
2 - 0
SWA
70%
18%
12%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | +1 |