Dinamo Brest vs Slavia Mozyr analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.8%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
22.5%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+36%
-9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
3º
8º
4º
28
1º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
41 | 62 |
1º
|
59.5% | |
|
2º
|
43 | 58 |
2º
|
41% | |
|
1º
|
43 | 57 |
3º
|
37% | |
|
|
4º
|
38 | 52 |
4º
|
40.5% | |
|
5º
|
32 | 44 |
5º
|
22.5% | |
|
9º
|
28 | 43 |
6º
|
13.5% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 43 |
7º
|
14.5% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 42 |
8º
|
18% | |
|
6º
|
30 | 42 |
9º
|
15.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
28 | 40 |
10º
|
19.5% | |
|
11º
|
24 | 38 |
11º
|
25.5% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 34 |
12º
|
42.5% | |
|
12º
|
20 | 29 |
13º
|
28.5% | |
|
13º
|
19 | 27 |
14º
|
33% | |
|
14º
|
16 | 25 |
15º
|
48% | |
|
15º
|
9 | 18 |
16º
|
86% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
4% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
31% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
65% | 99.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dinamo Brest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
MIN
3 - 2
DIN
21%
26%
53%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
DIN
3 - 0
SHA
43%
25%
32%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
FCS
0 - 2
DIN
23%
26%
51%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
DIN
3 - 2
ISL
36%
26%
38%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
DIN
4 - 1
FKA
46%
23%
31%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | +2 |
Matches
Slavia Mozyr
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
SLA
0 - 1
SHA
37%
27%
36%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
ISL
0 - 0
SLA
47%
27%
26%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
SLA
1 - 2
VIT
33%
28%
40%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
DNP
1 - 2
SLA
31%
27%
43%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
SLA
0 - 2
MKK
47%
23%
30%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | -1 |