Denmark U19 vs Wales U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.5%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.3%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
17%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Denmark U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2014 |
DEN
1 - 0
ALB
71%
18%
11%
|
56 | 42 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2014 |
LTU
1 - 3
DEN
19%
22%
60%
|
56 | 37 | 19 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2014 |
DEN
0 - 4
GER
24%
22%
54%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2014 |
ESP
3 - 1
DEN
77%
15%
8%
|
57 | 78 | 21 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
DEN
0 - 2
ITA
38%
24%
38%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Wales U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2014 |
POR
2 - 1
WAL
83%
12%
6%
|
47 | 69 | 22 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2014 |
WAL
3 - 0
GRC
23%
23%
54%
|
45 | 59 | 14 | +2 |
| 30 May. 2014 |
POR
3 - 2
WAL
84%
11%
5%
|
45 | 69 | 24 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2014 |
BEL
1 - 1
WAL
70%
19%
12%
|
45 | 60 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2013 |
WAL
6 - 0
MDA
58%
22%
20%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | +1 |