Denmark U21 vs Norway U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.8%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.1%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
30.1%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Denmark U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2013 |
FRA
3 - 1
DEN
51%
23%
26%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2012 |
DEN
1 - 3
ESP
21%
25%
54%
|
64 | 84 | 20 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2012 |
ESP
5 - 0
DEN
76%
16%
8%
|
65 | 84 | 19 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2012 |
DEN
3 - 0
NIR
86%
10%
5%
|
65 | 45 | 20 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2012 |
DEN
1 - 1
SRB
46%
24%
31%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Norway U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2013 |
NED
4 - 1
NOR
63%
21%
16%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2013 |
ESP
5 - 2
NOR
74%
17%
10%
|
65 | 84 | 19 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2013 |
NOR
2 - 1
RUS
31%
25%
45%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2013 |
TUR
2 - 0
NOR
50%
25%
24%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2012 |
NOR
5 - 3
FRA
20%
25%
55%
|
64 | 83 | 19 | +1 |